由于薪资数据的崩溃,美联储主席鲍威尔已经确认了他的转向｡降息即将到来,以防止经济衰退崩溃和股市崩盘｡然而,历史并不支持软着陆｡鲍威尔只会重燃更大的通胀危机｡
美国恐慌:美联储主席鲍威尔已经确认了他的转向,降息即将到来！
Davidwong
2天前(修改过)
At the same time, the BOJ desires to raise rates in order to catch up with the FED. Ueda is taking a major risk here since raising rates could cause the debt to implode. Personally, I have no idea what they are thinking. Will their plan even be sustainable in the long term?
同时,日本央行希望提高利率,以赶上美联储｡岸田在这里冒着很大的风险,因为提高利率可能会导致债务内爆｡我个人不知道他们在想什么｡他们的计划能长期持续吗?
SeanFooGold
7小时前(修改过)
The September rate cut is a given. What I am more interested in is whether it would even be sustainable to hike or even lower rates. After all, the rate hike in August did send markets down the drain. I am merely doubtful the BOJ can hike rates and not feel the debt affect them in any way. Also, would a weaker dollar even be ideal for the US? All I see it doing, in conjunction with the yen appreciation, is unwinding the carry trade even further.
9 月降息已成定局｡我更感兴趣的是,加息甚至降息是否具有可持续性｡毕竟,8 月份的加息确实让市场大跌眼镜｡我只是怀疑日本央行能否在加息的同时不感觉到债务对其有任何影响｡另外,美元走弱对美国来说是否理想?在我看来,美元走软,再加上日元升值,只会使套息交易进一步平仓｡
NotaliaMateo
2天前
It's too late now let all this corrupt idiots carry on, if not what can we do coz two party r same print n print
现在太迟了,让这些腐败的白痴继续下去吧,如果不是这样,我们又能做什么呢?
Stevenliew
2天前
The window for a US Economy " Soft Landing" is gone with their ever increasing fiscal expansion ( printing more money ), continuing supporting the Ukraine vs Russia War and the Israel vs Gaza War, continuing ever increasing sanctions on Chinese Imported Goods which had been the lifeline for the average Americans.
美国经济 “软着陆”的窗口期已经一去不复返了,因为他们不断加大财政扩张(印更多的钞票),继续支持乌克兰对俄罗斯的战争和以色列对加沙的战争,继续加大对中国进口商品的制裁,而这一直是普通美国人的生命线｡
Thomaskauser
1天前
Broke their own window for the business?Unemployment is rising. Gov't has created this mess.
打破自己的业务窗口?失业率正在上升,政府制造了这个烂摊子｡
Barnabusdoyle
1天前
Higher prices is what lowered demand, the interest rates haven’t really done much against inflation. It’s been pretty clear to most companies that consumer spending is tanking and that’s caused the companies to slow down hiring or start laying off people. The Fed cant slow the economy with higher interest rates anymore.
物价上涨导致需求减少,利率并没有对通货膨胀起到多大作用｡大多数公司都很清楚,消费者支出正在下滑,这导致公司放缓招聘或开始裁员｡美联储再也不能通过提高利率来减缓经济发展了｡
Termyfl
1天前
The inflation is due to overcapacity of money printing, not just demand
通货膨胀的原因是印钞机产能过剩,而不仅仅是需求｡
Rabuanmant
1天前
USD is like pyramid schemes. When everyone is running for safety you know the scheme is about to collapse
美元就像金字塔骗局｡当每个人都为了安全而逃跑时,你就知道这个计划即将崩溃!
BorisPerc
2天前
They can always print money as officials said. Rome empire fail similar way but all empires made by blood all eventually fail hard way. Karma never forget or forgive.
正如官员们所说,他们可以随时印钞票｡罗马帝国也是以类似的方式失败的,但所有由鲜血铸就的帝国最终都难逃失败的命运｡因果报应永远不会忘记或原谅｡
PS-383
2天前
China has deflationary issues and the US can lower their own inflation issues by importing more Chinese goods. But they instead imposed tariffs on Chinese goods which kept US inflation high. Common sense is not so common these days in the US.
中国有通货紧缩问题,美国可以通过进口更多中国商品来降低自己的通胀问题｡但他们却对中国商品征收关税,导致美国通胀率居高不下｡如今,常识在美国并不常见｡
Usaonlifesup
2天前
Cos the UAS has to save face due to its collapsed economy n failed state
因为经济崩溃和国家失败,美国必须保住面子!
Richardwil
1天前
Tariffs are monies not to reduce debt or pay for infrastructure. Tariffs are sales tax added for politicians to pocket.
关税不是用于减少债务或支付基础设施的资金,关税是为政客增加的销售税｡
Hanfucolorful
11小时前
If you want the USD as the main international trade currency the US MUST have trade deficit to keep sending money out of the US.
如果你想让美元成为主要的国际贸易货币,那么美国就必须有贸易逆差,这样才能不断地把钱汇出美国｡
Jimmychoi
2天前
No worries… Bidenomics will just redefine the definition of a ‘Recession’
不用担心......拜登经济学将重新定义 “经济衰退”｡
Bhtansg
1天前
When you miss the job numbers by close to a million jobs, you're either so incompetent or you're manipulating the numbers.
当你的就业数据差了将近一百万个工作岗位时,你要么是太无能了,要么就是在操纵数字｡
Happymelon
2天前
The real reason of cutting interest rates next month .The federal government is poised to reveal that the US economy created as many as a million fewer jobs than previously thought in the 12-month period that stretched through the end of March.
下月降息的真正原因:美国联邦政府准备公布的数据显示,在截至3月底的12个月里,美国经济创造的就业岗位比之前想象的少了多达100万个｡
The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to announce a significant downward revision of job growth statistics on Wednesday — a development that could fuel the perception on Wall Street that the Federal Reserve has waited too long to start slashing interest rates.
预计美国劳工统计局将于周三宣布大幅下调就业增长统计数据--这一进展可能会助长华尔街的看法,即美联储开始降息的时间已经等得太久了｡
Experts at Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo are predicting that the preliminary benchmark revisions on Wednesday will show that the economy created between 600,000 and 1 million fewer jobs than what was reported
高盛(Goldman Sachs)和富国银行(Wells Fargo)的专家预测,周三的初步基准修订将显示,经济创造的就业岗位将比报告的少 60 万至 100 万个｡
Lowengkok
2天前(修改过)
Once it reach $50trillion debt at least 2 generation also could not able to settle this debt of mother of all the debt.
一旦达到 50 万亿美元的债务,至少两代人也无法偿还这笔债务｡
Narmortein
15小时前
And 2039 - 2045 will be WW3 ?
2039 - 2045 年会发生第三次世界大战吗?
Remainanon
2天前
I really don't see the point of the USA trying to fight inflation because when the petro-dollar finally stops giving an advantage to the American consumer they will be experiencing double digit inflation as a norm not an extreme. And this may not even be that far down the road.
我实在看不出美国试图对抗通胀有什么意义,因为当石油美元最终不再给美国消费者带来优势时,他们将经历两位数的通胀,这是一种常态,而不是极端｡而这可能还没到那一步｡
Choonhockong
2天前
Downfall of Uncle Sam economy is coming soon.
山姆大叔经济的衰落即将到来!
Joshtep
2天前
Petrodollar? The petrodollar has long ended by a couple years after the Russia-NATO conflict.
石油美元?在俄罗斯与北约冲突后的几年里,石油美元早已终结｡
Scientistlarry
2天前
US as a whole focuses on jobs so much. I don't see that anyone mentions the quality of the jobs added. It is easy to add junk jobs which only damage the economy.
美国作为一个整体非常关注就业问题｡我没看到有人提到新增就业岗位的质量｡增加垃圾工作很容易,但只会损害经济｡
Hutchinson
1天前
A trickle turns into a flood when the dam finally breaks. It's that slow buildup that leaves a lot of fools from doing anything.
当大坝最终决堤时,涓涓细流就会变成洪水｡正是这种缓慢的积累,让很多傻瓜不敢轻举妄动｡
Ndabankomo
2天前
You know you have lost control when the bus is moving, but the steering wheel has come off.
当公共汽车行驶时,方向盘却脱落了,你就知道自己失去了控制｡
Pimpompoom
2天前
Powell just assured he is FINISHED as FED Chief, when Trump is elected he will NEVER renominate Powell now. A FED Chief must NEVER be influenced by political considerations, ever.
鲍威尔刚刚保证他已不再担任美联储主席,特朗普当选后绝不会重新提名鲍威尔｡联邦储备委员会主席绝对不能受到政治因素的影响,永远不能｡
Paulbunyon
2天前
That is because the Fed Chair takes his orders from the BIS.
那是因为美联储主席听命于国际清算银行｡
PositionM
1天前
Trump isn’t the one who appoints Fed Chairman as they are a private company with “federal” in their name.
特朗普不是美联储主席的任命者,因为他们是一家名称中带有 “联邦”字样的私营公司｡
Stevenliew
1天前
That’s not for you to decide, Powell is an employee of a private company that has Federal as part of their name ie like Federal Express. Their employer love Powell’s work.
这不是你能决定的,鲍威尔是一家私营公司的雇员,这家公司的名称中就有 “联邦”二字,比如联邦快递｡他们的雇主喜欢鲍威尔的工作｡
Yoxat
1天前
There shouldn't be a job like Powell's.If we stayed on the gold standard and stopped manipulating everything, we would have real self-regulating capitalism.
不应该有鲍威尔这样的工作｡如果我们坚持金本位制,不再操纵一切,我们就会拥有真正自我调节的资本主义｡
Brucetopey
2天前
Unfortunately, just like in the late 1960's and early 70's the inflation rate was about to rebound after everyone thought the inflation had gone.Inflation can happen in recessionary times.
不幸的是,就像 19 60 年代末和 70 年代初一样,在所有人都认为通货膨胀已经过去之后,通货膨胀率又开始反弹｡经济衰退时期也会出现通货膨胀｡
Happymelon
2天前
818,000 jobs vanished. Smells fishy. Cannot believe Fed didn't know about this for a long time.
81.8万个工作岗位消失了,听起来有猫腻｡真不敢相信美联储长期以来对此一无所知｡
Monipenny
1天前
In America "if you believed the lie, then it is no longer a lie".Pure genius!
在美国,“如果你相信了谎言,那么它就不再是谎言”｡纯粹的天才!
Stephenlock
2天前
they can lower rates all they want, but if small business owners have wrecked credit scores there are no loans available to them, therefore they are fucked. small business props up the economy. this is going to get ugly.
他们可以随心所欲地降低利率,但如果小企业主的信用评分很差,他们就无法获得贷款,因此他们就完蛋了｡小企业支撑着经济｡这会变得很难看｡
Randomname
2天前
The economy is propped up by the Fed and funny math, not real business.
支撑经济的是美联储和有趣的数学,而不是真正的商业｡
Ianbeattie
1天前
We are already in a recession. a Fed rate cut would trigger a depression Storm coming
我们已经处于衰退之中,美联储降息将引发经济萧条!暴风雨即将来临!
Haroldb
1天前
Storm coming
暴风雨即将来临!
ChrisHereToday
2天前
Well on the flip side cutting rates will give less incentive for banks to just invest their money in the federal reserve over night market to chase safe money. To chase higher returns banks may be encouraged to lend more into the economy, as the federal reserve intends,
反过来说,降低利率会降低银行将资金投资于美联储隔夜市场以追逐安全资金的积极性｡为了追逐更高的回报,银行可能会被鼓励向经济提供更多贷款,这也是美联储的意图｡
but this influx of money may lead to higher inflation and though the fed may cut the federal funds rate it may result in an increase in other interest rates such as mortgage and car loans. So a rate cut may be good for the stock market but not for the economy as the stock market is no reflection of the state of the real economy.
但资金的大量涌入可能会导致通货膨胀率上升,尽管美联储可能会下调联邦基金利率,但这可能会导致其他利率上升,如抵押贷款和汽车贷款｡因此,降息可能有利于股市,但不利于经济,因为股市并不能反映实体经济的状况｡
Thetwosticks
2天前
how is this going to help. There are no jobs. The situation is worse than they say. The street reflects to reality. Cutting rates will not create jobs. 70% of US gdp is driven by consumption. People are broke and getting notebooks broke. Inflation will increase further after the rate cut.
这有什么用?没有工作｡情况比他们说的还要糟糕｡街头反映了现实｡降低利率不会创造就业机会｡美国国民生产总值的70%来自消费｡人们破产了,买笔记本电脑的人也破产了｡降息后,通胀将进一步加剧｡ |
