Houthiandt
3小时前
paje ets will fil up here and complain and say china is collapsing
印度人会涌上来抱怨,说中国正在崩溃!
Donklee
3小时前
Interesting analysis. However, you missed two important differences. One, India net exported engineers, software engineers in particular, to the West. Brain drain?
Second, the carry traders in the US took the billions that the FED in the US made available thru their quantitative easing (QE1,QE2, etc) program and moved it off shore buying Chinese bonds that were not selling well because there wasn't enough world wide demand by foreign investors in the private sector at the time. This also explains why the QEs didn't add a lot of inflationary pressure to the US economy. The carry traders moved most of it off shore flooding the Chinese economy with US dollars. Billions with each QE. This also explains the growth of the Chinese real estate sector bubble as Chinese banks struggled to find places to loan the bond money out.
其次,美国的套利交易者将美国联邦储备委员会(FED)通过量化宽松(QE1、QE2 等)计划提供的数十亿资金转移到了岸外,购买销售不佳的中国债券,因为当时全球范围内的外国私人投资者对中国债券的需求不足。这也解释了为什么 QE 并没有给美国经济带来很大的通胀压力。套利交易者将大部分资金转移到了岸外,使美元充斥中国经济。每次量化宽松都是数十亿美元。这也解释了中国房地产行业泡沫的增长,因为中国的银行在努力寻找地方将债券资金贷出。